Week Ahead - 11th December 2023

🌍💹 Get ready for a pivotal week in the forex market! Final rate decisions from the Fed, BoE, ECB, and SNB are coming up. Will they hold steady or hint at changes for 2024? Stay tuned as we navigate these crucial economic waters together! #forexupdate  #forex  #trading 

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Forex Week Ahead Analysis: Central Banks’ Final Decisions of the Year

As we enter a pivotal week in the forex market, all eyes are on the final interest rate decisions of the year from some of the world’s most influential central banks: the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the European Central Bank (ECB), the Bank of England (BoE), and the Swiss National Bank (SNB). These decisions are not just routine events; they are crucial indicators for forex traders and market analysts alike, shaping the economic landscape as we head into the new year.

US Federal Reserve: Holding Steady Amid Future Rate Cut Expectations

The US Federal Reserve is anticipated to maintain the current rate at 5.50%. This decision comes amid speculations of potential rate cuts in the first quarter of 2024. For traders, this steadiness signals a period of watchful waiting. The forecasted rate cuts next year suggest a shift in the Fed’s approach towards monetary policy, potentially easing the high-interest environment that has defined much of the past year.

UK’s Bank of England: Balancing Act Amid Fiscal Relief Measures

Across the pond, the UK’s Bank of England is also expected to keep its rates on hold at 5.25%. However, the UK’s context is slightly different. Recent announcements of relief in national insurance and tax could mean that the BoE will maintain higher rates for an extended period. This approach might be a balancing act, aiming to support economic growth while keeping inflation in check. Forex traders should closely monitor the UK’s fiscal policies, as they could significantly influence the pound’s performance.

European Central Bank: A Cautious Pause

The European Central Bank is forecasted to keep its rates at 4.50%. This decision seems to be influenced by the easing of inflation pressures, a welcome change from the persistent high inflation that has troubled the eurozone. The ECB’s stance indicates a cautious optimism, with the possibility of rate cuts early in 2024. This could be a signal for forex traders to prepare for a potentially more accommodating monetary policy in the eurozone next year.

USD INDEX

USD INDEX - Forex Week Ahead Analysis - Blueberry Markets

The price on the chart has traded through multiple technical levels and some observations included:

  • Price has found support at $103.00, the bullish weekly chart could see price trade higher this week. 
  • Buyers could target the key resistance near $105.00. 

EURUSD

EURUSD - Forex Week Ahead Analysis - Blueberry Markets

The price on the chart has traded through multiple technical levels and some observations included:

  • Price has found support at 1.0750, however, if price were to trade through this level it could go to target the next level of support at 1.0665.
  • EUR has been a weaker currency and is likely to continue as the market predicts the ECB to cut rates in the new year. 

GBPUSD

GBPUSD - Forex Week Ahead Analysis - Blueberry Markets

The price on the chart has traded through multiple technical levels and some observations included:

  • Price of cable is trading below the key resistance of 1.2600.
  • The next key support is below at 1.2475.

AUDJPY

AUDJPY - Forex Week Ahead Analysis - Blueberry Markets

The price on the chart has traded through multiple technical levels and some observations included:

  • JPY continues to gain strength in the markets, if this were to continue AUDJPY could continue lower. 
  • Key resistance has formed around 96.25. 

Have you watched our latest video update? You can see it here. 

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